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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTAMP:20260609T185757Z
DTSTART;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20260526T141500
DTEND;VALUE=DATE-TIME:20260526T153000
SUMMARY:Applied & Development Economics Seminar - Guy Pincus (Harvard)
TZID:Europe/London
UID:20260526-8ac672c69d18dd63019d1efe5acc134d@warwick.ac.uk
CREATED:20260522T145214Z
DESCRIPTION:Title: Wildlife and Conflict: The Cost of Protecting Biodiver
 sity Abstract: Our planet is experiencing the first human-induced mass e
 xtinction of species. In response\, policymakers have implemented intern
 ational trade bans to preserve rare animals and forest species such as r
 hinos\, elephants\, and rosewood. Yet little research examines their con
 sequences. Combining georeferenced habitat maps of wild animals and tree
 s with armed conflict data\, I uncover sizeable adverse effects of inter
 national trade ban treaties. First\, event-study estimates reveal that b
 ans raise the likelihood of conflict in habitat areas by about 40%. Two 
 findings support a windfall-related conflict mechanism. For elephant ivo
 ry\, a natural experiment shows that\, in response to supply-side polici
 es\, prices change\, which in turn changes the likelihood of conflict ev
 ents in their habitat. Given the elephant’s broad habitat\, the implied 
 magnitude exceeds that of well-studied conflict minerals. For wild trees
 \, satellite data show that harvesting shifts from high- to low-capacity
  states once bans are imposed\, generating rents that spark violence. An
  analysis of battles’ locations before and after the policy reveals that
  militias and rebels expand into new\, distant areas and are more likely
  to gain territorial control\, consistent with a feasibility mechanism i
 n which windfalls relax budget constraints. A quantitative model suggest
 s that a targeted policy restricting trade in states with strong institu
 tions and smaller wildlife stocks can conserve resources while limiting 
 conflict. Given these spillovers\, international trade bans\, if maintai
 ned\, should be accompanied by state-building support for low-income cou
 ntries\, which often lack enforcement capacity. Link: https://drive.goog
 le.com/file/d/1nyIPlpsm7AFibk5cBvQFmN_Osl8f8IC-/view
LOCATION:S0.13
CATEGORIES:Applied & Development Economics Seminar
LAST-MODIFIED:20260522T145214Z
ORGANIZER;CN=Gill Gudger:
END:VEVENT
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